Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Chicago Fire | 24 | -3 | 30 |
7 | Toronto | 24 | -8 | 26 |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | -10 | 25 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | -2 | 34 |
3 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 4 | 33 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 2 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Portland Timbers |
47.21% ( 0.4) | 23.13% ( -0.1) | 29.66% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 61.98% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.92% ( 0.27) | 39.08% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.59% ( 0.29) | 61.4% ( -0.29) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.12% ( 0.26) | 16.88% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.09% ( 0.46) | 46.9% ( -0.46) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% ( -0.06) | 25.43% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -0.08) | 60.25% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Portland Timbers |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.23% Total : 47.21% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |