Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.