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Major League Soccer
Apr 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Toronto FC

NY City
5 - 4
Toronto

Castellanos (38'), Andrade (49'), Rodriguez (54'), Parks (58'), Pereira (75')
Acevedo (40'), Morales (83')
Morales (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jimenez (13', 27'), Kerr (87'), Bradley (90+1')
Jimenez (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 0-1 NY City
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY City vs. Colorado
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-2 Toronto

Both of these sides seem to have found their footing at long last, and although New York might have the edge in experience and offensive depth, TFC have proven to be a much more resilient bunch than we saw in 2021. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 3-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawToronto
74.05%15.37%10.59%
Both teams to score 54.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.06%31.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.5%53.5%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65%7.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.47%26.53%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 74.05%
    Toronto 10.59%
    Draw 15.37%
New York City FCDrawToronto
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.82%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 3.58%
5-0 @ 3.03%
5-1 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 2.34%
6-0 @ 1.32%
5-2 @ 1.22%
6-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 74.05%
1-1 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.11%
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.37%
1-2 @ 3.15%
0-1 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-2 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: NY City vs Toronto

New York City FC
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Toronto
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Toronto
2-1
NY City
Jimenez (31'), Martins (43' og.)
Heber (90+2')
Martins (59'), Callens (59')
Aug 8, 2021 1am
Toronto
2-2
NY City
Laryea (49'), Pozuelo (55')
Soteldo (25'), Laryea (36'), Priso-Mbongue (63')
Rodriguez (12'), Tajouri (21')
Morales (90+2')
May 15, 2021 6pm
Oct 28, 2020 11.30pm
Toronto
0-1
NY City

Morrow (3')
Medina (51')
Callens (45+1'), Castellanos (75'), Medina (90+2')
Sep 24, 2020 12am
NY City
0-1
Toronto

Callens (23'), Castellanos (36'), Sands (72'), Acevedo (89')
Pozuelo (90' pen.)
Piatti (25'), DeLeon (40'), Altidore (56'), Nelson (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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