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[monks data]
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Jul 4, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Inter Miami

Montreal
1 - 0
Inter Miami

Choiniere (41')
Wanyama (14'), Struna (54'), Camacho (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez Pirez (71'), Leerdam (73'), Gregore (76')

Preview: CF Montreal vs. Inter Miami - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Inter Miami will want to put a poor run of form behind them when they face CF Montreal in MLS on Saturday.

The Herons are 12th in the Eastern Conference and are yet to find their feet under Phil Neville, while Montreal are ninth and on the brink of a playoff place.


Match preview

Inter Miami CF teammates celebrate on June 26, 2021© Reuters

Inter Miami took the lead in their last outing against Orlando City through substitute Gonzalo Higuain but conceded twice in the final 17 minutes to lose 2-1.

It was a fourth successive defeat for Neville's side, who have won just two of their opening 10 games of the campaign.

However, both of those victories have come away from home, against Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati, meaning they may be pleased to be back on their travels.

They need to improve their attacking output, because only Chicago Fire (seven) and Austin FC (six) have scored fewer goals in the 2021 MLS campaign so far than Inter Miami (nine).

CF Montreal head coach Wilfried Nancy reacts from the sideline on May 22, 2021© Reuters

After scoring six goals in their opening two games, CF Montreal have found the back of the net just five times in their last eight matches.

Last weekend they drew 1-1 with Nashville SC, taking the lead just after the hour mark through Kiki Struna before Abu Danladi scored a 94th-minute equaliser; it was the Canadian outfit's second successive draw and left them with one win in their last five matches.

Due to Covid-19 cross border restrictions imposed by the Canadian government, Montreal are currently playing their 'home' games in the United States.

So far Wilfried Nancy's side have ground-shared at Inter Miami's DRV PNK Stadium and won just one of four matches, but this fixture will be played at the Red Bull Arena in New Jersey.

It is the first of three successive 'home' games for Montreal, but they will all be played in different places; after Saturday, they face New York City in Orlando and then FC Cincinnati in Fort Lauderdale.

This will be only the third meeting between the sides and CF Montreal have won the previous two, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season when Bjorn Johnsen got a brace.

CF Montreal Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Inter Miami Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Inter Miami CF head coach Phil Neville on May 30, 2021© Reuters

Zorhan Bassong and Victor Wanyama are both set to return for CF Montreal after missing the draw with Nashville through suspension.

Goalkeeper Clement Diop is expected to still be sidelined following an injury he picked up in the closing stages against DC United.

Teenage striker Sunusi Ibrahim has been called up to the Nigerian squad for a friendly against Mexico, so Bjorn Johnsen should come back into the side.

Inter Miami will also welcome back two players from suspension: Ryan Shawcross and Gregore.

Gonzalo Higuain's goal off the bench against Orlando City may earn him a place in the starting lineup.

The Argentinian veteran is the only player in the Miami squad to score more than one MLS goal this season, leaving the team lacking attacking threat in his absence.

CF Montreal possible starting lineup:
Pantemis; Bassong, Camacho, Struna; Brault-Guillard, Piette, Wanyama, Kizza; Mihailovic, Hamdi; Johnsen

Inter Miami possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Leerdam, Shawcross, Gonzalez, Makoun; Matuidi, Gregore; Shea, Chapman, Morgan; G. Higuain


SM words green background

We say: CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami

Inter Miami are desperate to end their losing run and may fancy their chances against a Montreal side also struggling for form. If Gonzalo Higuain plays from the start, Neville's side might just have enough to take all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal
45.0%
Draw
32.5%
Inter Miami
22.5%
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93421714313
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas9225912-38
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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