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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Manchester United logo

Brighton
vs.
Man Utd

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Newcastle vs. Brighton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-0 Man Utd
Monday, May 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Man Utd vs. Arsenal
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 32.08% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.56%).

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawManchester United
46.49% (-1.152 -1.15) 21.43% (0.424 0.42) 32.08% (0.729 0.73)
Both teams to score 69.87% (-1.265 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.65% (-1.784 -1.78)29.35% (1.786 1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.59% (-2.205 -2.21)50.41% (2.204 2.2)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (-1.024 -1.02)13.45% (1.024 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.57% (-2.098 -2.1)40.43% (2.098 2.1)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.502 -0.5)19.27% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99% (-0.834 -0.83)51% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.49%
    Manchester United 32.08%
    Draw 21.43%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.145 0.15)
1-0 @ 5.2% (0.337 0.34)
3-2 @ 4.73% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.194 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.37% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.3% (-0.132 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 46.49%
1-1 @ 8.56% (0.426 0.43)
2-2 @ 7.07% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.6% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.244 0.24)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.367 0.37)
2-3 @ 3.88% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.25 0.25)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.108 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 32.08%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Man Utd
1-3
Brighton
Mejbri (73')
Fernandes (45+3'), Mejbri (90+2')
Welbeck (20'), Gross (53'), Pedro (71')
Lamptey (4'), Paul van Hecke (24')
May 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Brighton
1-0
Man Utd
Mac Allister (90+9' pen.)
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
Semi-Finals
Brighton
0-0
Man Utd
(Aggregate 0-0 | Man Utd win 7-6 on penalties)
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Man Utd
1-2
Brighton
Mac Allister (68' og.)
McTominay (25'), Martinez (45+2'), Maguire (53'), Shaw (74')
Gross (30', 39')
Trossard (53')
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Brighton
4-0
Man Utd
Caicedo (15'), Cucurella (49'), Gross (57'), Trossard (60')

Ronaldo (45'), Dalot (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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