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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Turf Moor
Nottingham Forest logo

Burnley
vs.
Nott'm Forest

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Burnley and Nottingham Forest.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Next Game: Spurs vs. Burnley
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-3 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Next Game: Nott'm Forest vs. Chelsea
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 40%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 37.13% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Burnley win is 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.9%).

Result
BurnleyDrawNottingham Forest
37.13% (-11.324 -11.32) 22.87% (-0.75 -0.75) 40% (12.076 12.08)
Both teams to score 65.81% (6.867 6.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.77% (7.305 7.31)35.22% (-7.301 -7.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.76% (7.693 7.69)57.24% (-7.69 -7.69)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (-1.797 -1.8)19.52% (1.8 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (-3.022 -3.02)51.41% (3.025 3.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (10.134 10.13)18.23% (-10.131 -10.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74% (14.843 14.84)49.25% (-14.841 -14.84)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 37.13%
    Nottingham Forest 40%
    Draw 22.87%
BurnleyDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 8.08% (-1.399 -1.4)
1-0 @ 5.81% (-2.883 -2.88)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-2.776 -2.78)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-1.068 -1.07)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-1.754 -1.75)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.568 -0.57)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.822 -0.82)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 37.13%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-1.055 -1.06)
2-2 @ 6.88% (0.904 0.9)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-1.467 -1.47)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.678 0.68)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 8.42% (1.516 1.52)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.276 -0.28)
0-2 @ 5.15% (1.164 1.16)
1-3 @ 4.78% (1.877 1.88)
2-3 @ 3.9% (1.393 1.39)
0-3 @ 2.93% (1.249 1.25)
1-4 @ 2.03% (1.119 1.12)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.87 0.87)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.717 0.72)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.449 0.45)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 40%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
Hudson-Odoi (61')
Mangala (32'), Montiel (34')
Amdouni (41')
Trafford (11'), Roberts (90+5'), Cullen (90+9')
Foster (90+4')
Aug 30, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Burnley

Kouyate (45+3'), Johnson (85'), Aurier (86')
Amdouni (90')
Ekdal (52'), Brownhill (66'), Muric (90+6'), Berge (90+7')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
Murphy (33')
Gray (57')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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