Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Liverpool | 4 | 8 | 5 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Brentford | 5 | 3 | 6 |
10 | Newcastle United | 4 | 2 | 6 |
11 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 9.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
77.1% ( -0.52) | 13.88% ( 0.32) | 9.03% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.57% ( -0.93) | 29.44% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.49% ( -1.14) | 50.51% ( 1.15) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.79% ( -0.29) | 6.21% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.53% ( -0.81) | 23.47% ( 0.82) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.06% ( -0.28) | 41.94% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.62% ( -0.24) | 78.38% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.4% Total : 77.09% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.88% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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