Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Newcastle United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Nottingham Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Newcastle United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Nottingham Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
45.01% ( -0.09) | 28.24% ( 0.02) | 26.74% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 44.1% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.59% ( -0.05) | 61.41% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.7% ( -0.04) | 81.3% ( 0.04) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.74% ( -0.07) | 27.26% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.31% ( -0.09) | 62.69% ( 0.09) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.63% ( 0.03) | 39.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.93% ( 0.03) | 76.06% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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