Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
30.14% ( 1.63) | 25.45% ( 0.18) | 44.41% ( -1.8) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.69% ( 0.08) | 49.31% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.63% ( 0.07) | 71.36% ( -0.07) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( 1.22) | 30.26% ( -1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( 1.43) | 66.42% ( -1.43) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( -0.79) | 22.17% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( -1.2) | 55.56% ( 1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.14% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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