Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.