Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
37.7% ( -0.48) | 27.37% ( 0.19) | 34.93% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% ( -0.73) | 55.9% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( -0.6) | 77.01% ( 0.6) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.33% ( -0.64) | 28.67% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.52% ( -0.8) | 64.48% ( 0.8) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% ( -0.18) | 30.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% ( -0.21) | 66.56% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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