Both sides are missing a few key players due to injury, suspension and/or international duty, but the visitors are better equipped to handle the situation. Boavista are without two of their four regular starting defenders, and we feel that they will struggle to contain the Dragons' attack in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
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