Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 77.98%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 8.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
77.98% ( -0) | 13.99% | 8.03% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 48.79% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.04% ( -0) | 33.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.18% ( -0) | 55.81% ( 0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.98% ( -0) | 7.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.34% ( -0) | 25.66% ( 0) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.48% ( 0) | 47.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.12% ( 0) | 82.88% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
2-0 @ 11.76% 3-0 @ 10.42% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 7.76% 4-0 @ 6.92% 4-1 @ 5.15% 5-0 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.92% 6-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.27% Total : 77.97% | 1-1 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.33% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.99% | 0-1 @ 2.48% 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.17% Total : 8.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |