Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Estoril (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Estrela Amadora 0-2 Benfica
Benfica will be eager to put their midweek cup disappointment behind them with a positive result here and will see this as a good opportunity to place some pressure on Sporting, who take on Casa Pia later in the day. Estrela have failed to win any of their last five league games, and we feel they will see their winless record extended in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 0-3 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Benfica |
9.65% ( -0.01) | 16.63% ( 0.15) | 73.72% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.99% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
