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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon

Estoril
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

While Sporting Lisbon have stumbled into the new season, they possess the firepower needed to turn things around. Amorim's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and while Estoril Praia have proven to be a tough nut to crack this season, we are backing them to grind out a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
16.21% (-0.361 -0.36) 20.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 62.87% (0.366 0.37)
Both teams to score 51.23% (-0.771 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24% (-0.627 -0.63)44.76% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (-0.607 -0.61)67.12% (0.607 0.61)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (-0.831 -0.83)40.69% (0.832 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.757 -0.76)77.28% (0.75699999999999 0.76)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)13.62% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (-0.176 -0.18)40.77% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 16.21%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.86%
    Draw 20.92%
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.47% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.92%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 11.01% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.32% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.65% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.86%

How you voted: Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon

Estoril Praia
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Sporting Lisbon
64.1%
78
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
Feb 4, 2018 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Sporting Lisbon
Kyriakou (27'), Ewandro (31')
Ewandro (72')

Coentrao (59'), Carvalho (72'), Acuna (87')
Aug 27, 2017 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Estoril
Martins (4'), Fernandes (11')
Battaglia (35'), Fernandes (66'), Acuna (74'), Petrovic (90')
Evangelista (85')
Valente (45'), Evangelista (53'), Claro (59'), Monteiro (75'), Diakhite (90')
Feb 25, 2017 6.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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