Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.02% ( -1.38) | 21.39% ( -0.37) | 60.59% ( 1.75) |
Both teams to score 53.47% ( -1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.33% ( -0.5) | 43.67% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.94% ( -0.5) | 66.06% ( 0.5) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( -1.8) | 37.85% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% ( -1.8) | 74.63% ( 1.8) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% ( 0.38) | 13.96% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.55% ( 0.74) | 41.45% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.02% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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