Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.08% | 21.18% | 60.73% |
Both teams to score 54.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.31% | 42.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.91% | 65.09% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.79% | 37.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% | 73.99% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% | 13.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.26% | 40.73% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5% 2-1 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 2.47% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.08% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 0-0 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-4 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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