Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
18 | Belenenses | 34 | -32 | 26 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.11% | 20.77% | 61.11% |
Both teams to score 55.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.25% | 40.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.87% | 63.13% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% | 36.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.2% | 72.79% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% | 12.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.74% | 39.26% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 4.96% 1-0 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.11% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 5.08% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-3 @ 6.66% 1-4 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-4 @ 3.41% 2-4 @ 1.78% 1-5 @ 1.43% 0-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.48% Total : 61.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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