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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estoril

Farense
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (35+2'), Oliveira (43'), Duarte (65')
Falcao (43'), Isidoro (79'), Rossi (79'), Isidoro (82')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Garcia (44'), Gomes (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Farense
Monday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-1 Estoril Praia

Having both won their last outings, Farense and Estoril will head into the weekend with confidence as they look for a strong end to the season. However, the Canarinhos' form on the road is currently nothing to write home about and we see them struggling in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstoril Praia
33.99% (0.192 0.19) 24.41% (0.113 0.11) 41.59% (-0.298 -0.3)
Both teams to score 59.39% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.466 -0.47)43.34% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-0.461 -0.46)65.74% (0.467 0.47)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)24.87% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.154 -0.15)59.48% (0.159 0.16)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)20.95% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (-0.526 -0.53)53.69% (0.533 0.53)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 33.99%
    Estoril Praia 41.59%
    Draw 24.41%
SC FarenseDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.99%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.59%

How you voted: Farense vs Estoril

SC Farense
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Estoril
4-0
Farense
Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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