Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
45.57% | 28.14% | 26.29% |
Both teams to score 44.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.69% | 61.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.77% | 81.22% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% | 26.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% | 62.25% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.29% | 39.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.62% | 76.38% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 14.02% 2-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.84% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.41% Total : 26.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |