Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
48.17% | 27.24% | 24.59% |
Both teams to score 45.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.69% | 59.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.29% | 79.71% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% | 24.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% | 59.28% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.9% | 40.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.26% | 76.74% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |