Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela |
36.2% | 27.64% ( 0) | 36.17% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 48.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.13% | 56.87% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.21% | 77.79% ( 0) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% | 30.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% | 66.18% ( 0) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% | 30.07% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% | 66.2% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |