Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
41.75% ( 0.34) | 27.1% ( 0.02) | 31.15% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% ( -0.19) | 55.57% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% ( -0.16) | 76.74% ( 0.16) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% ( 0.09) | 26.25% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.64% ( 0.13) | 61.36% ( -0.13) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% ( -0.36) | 32.74% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.7% ( -0.4) | 69.3% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |