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Hibs logo
Scottish League Cup | Semi-Finals
Nov 4, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Hibernian
0 - 1
Aberdeen


Tavares (28'), Obita (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miovski (78')
Jensen (34'), MacKenzie (61'), Miovski (84'), Shinnie (88')
MacKenzie (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hibernian and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Ross County
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 1-0 Aberdeen

 Hibernian need to recover quickly after an emotionally-draining collapse against Ross County last time out, and the reintroduction of many of their star players should be a massive boost. Aberdeen have been afforded just two days to prepare for this semi-final clash after a trip to Motherwell on Wednesday, and we believe the Reds will fall narrowly short at Hampden in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
HibernianDrawAberdeen
44.51% (-1.914 -1.91) 23.83% (0.43 0.43) 31.66% (1.485 1.49)
Both teams to score 60.6% (-0.737 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-1.314 -1.31)41.38% (1.314 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-1.346 -1.35)63.78% (1.347 1.35)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (-1.293 -1.29)18.85% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (-2.204 -2.2)50.31% (2.205 2.21)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.27900000000001 0.28)25.32% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.38200000000001 0.38)60.1% (-0.381 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 44.51%
    Aberdeen 31.66%
    Draw 23.83%
HibernianDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.278 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.254 0.25)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.432 0.43)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.33 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.167 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aberdeen

Hibernian
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Aberdeen
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Aberdeen
0-2
Hibernian

Rubezic (26'), Shinnie (71')
Le Fondre (75'), Doidge (80')
Jeggo (17'), Campbell (32'), Hanlon (51'), Newell (85')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Aberdeen
0-0
Hibernian
Scales (1'), Coulson (78')
Newell (39'), Campbell (52'), Egan Riley (88'), McKirdy (88'), Jeggo (90+3')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Hibernian
6-0
Aberdeen
Campbell (10', 15', 88'), Youan (45'), Nisbet (73'), Fish (90+1')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Aberdeen
4-1
Hibernian
Miovski (45+8' pen., 53'), Ramadani (61'), Clarkson (77')
Kukharevych (69')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hibernian
3-1
Aberdeen
Boyle (45+1' pen.), Campbell (62', 73')
Lopes (4')
> Preview
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