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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Celtic Park
Hibs logo

Celtic
4 - 1
Hibernian

Oh (5', 55'), O'Riley (36'), Palma (51' pen.)
Palma (21'), McGregor (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Doidge (72')
Fish (84'), Molotnikov (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-3 Celtic
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 3-0 Hibernian

Celtic were relatively close to an embarrassing slip-up at McDiarmid Park on Sunday, and the home supporters will not accept a similarly sluggish start from the Bhoys on Wednesday night. Hibernian got away with handing Aberdeen a host of clear-cut chances last time out, but we feel that Montgomery's men will be punished for their defensive vulnerabilities at Celtic Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 79.6%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawHibernian
79.6% (-0.217 -0.22) 12.78% (0.118 0.12) 7.61% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.07% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.97% (-0.202 -0.2)29.03% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.99% (-0.249 -0.25)50.01% (0.251 0.25)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.32% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)5.68% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.03% (-0.226 -0.23)21.97% (0.228 0.23)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.2% (0.099000000000004 0.1)44.79% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.23% (0.076000000000001 0.08)80.77% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 79.59%
    Hibernian 7.61%
    Draw 12.78%
CelticDrawHibernian
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 10% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.04%
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 7.18% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 3.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 79.59%
1-1 @ 5.86% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.38% (0.025 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.54% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 12.78%
1-2 @ 2.35% (0.029 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.04% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Celtic vs Hibernian

Celtic
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Hibernian
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hibernian
0-0
Celtic
Scales (49'), Taylor (61')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Hibernian
4-2
Celtic
Youan (52', 80'), Nisbet (75' pen.), Bernabei (86' og.)
Nisbet (45+3'), Doyle-Hayes (70')
Hatate (41' pen.), Oh (58')
Maeda (44'), Ralston (74')
Maeda (67')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Celtic
3-1
Hibernian
Jota (52' pen.), Oh (81'), Haksabanovic (90+5')
Campbell (39' pen.)
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 19
Hibernian
0-4
Celtic
Mooy (28', 58'), Maeda (36'), Furuhashi (64')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Celtic
6-1
Hibernian
Forrest (9', 24', 58'), Giakoumakis (18', 73'), Maeda (89')
Youan (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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