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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Mar 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Aberdeen logo

Dundee
1 - 0
Aberdeen

McCowan (66' pen.)
McCowan (90+6'), Main (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrath (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 1-1 Aberdeen

There is very little to split these two teams in terms of league position and form, which should lead to a close fixture between them. It is set to be a competitive match, and because of the closeness, it would not be a surprise to see them battle out a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawAberdeen
47.02% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1) 23.82% (0.029 0.03) 29.16% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 59.18% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)42.62% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)65.02% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)18.32% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-0.122 -0.12)49.4% (0.125 0.13)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.54% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.06% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 47.02%
    Aberdeen 29.16%
    Draw 23.82%
DundeeDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.16%

How you voted: Dundee vs Aberdeen

Dundee
53.5%
Draw
30.7%
Aberdeen
15.8%
101
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
1-1
Dundee
Miovski (31' pen.)
McGrath (35'), Jensen (78')
Ashcroft (55')
Dodgson (18'), Boateng (23'), Beck (90')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aberdeen
1-0
Dundee
Ferguson (73' pen.)
Besuijen (30')

Mulligan (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Dundee
2-2
Aberdeen
McGhee (62'), Mullen (86')
Adam (79')
Ramsey (41'), McCrorie (81')
Gallagher (61')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
2-1
Dundee
Hedges (12'), Ferguson (70')
Griffiths (7')
McGhee (31'), Panter (46'), Kerr (86')
Oct 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Dundee
2-1
Aberdeen
Griffiths (49'), McCowan (62')
Adam (38'), Byrne (44'), Sheridan (90+6'), Mullen (90+10')
Ramirez (67')
Hedges (73'), Gallagher (90+4'), Watkins (90+10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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