Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 37.58%. A draw had a probability of 32.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 29.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 2-1 (6.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.78%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.