Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 44.69%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.