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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lecce logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Lecce

Hojlund (87')
Demiral (4'), Zappacosta (12'), Maehle (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ceesay (4'), Blin (74')
Di Francesco (55'), Gallo (64'), Blin (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Roma
Saturday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Lecce

While Lecce have found a way to pick up points on the road, and are a well-organised and settled side, Atalanta's recent prowess in the final third means that - even accounting for absences - they are the likeliest winners on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
63.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 20.68% (0.0040000000000013 0) 15.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)66.7% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.31% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)40.16% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15%40.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 63.42%
    Lecce 15.88%
    Draw 20.68%
Atalanta BCDrawLecce
2-0 @ 11.05%
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 63.42%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.68%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.88%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lecce

Atalanta BC
89.2%
Draw
4.8%
Lecce
6.0%
83
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus351812548272166
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16Empoli3588192650-2432
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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