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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Bennacer (17'), Hernandez (29')
Calabria (42'), Thiaw (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romagnoli (20'), Marusic (24'), Casale (60'), Pellegrini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Sassuolo
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Lazio

 Lazio have won nine of their 16 away games in Serie A this season, but a trip to San Siro presents its own unique challenge, and they may have to settle for a draw on this occasion. Simply scoring against the Rome club is something to be celebrated, such is their clean-sheet record, but Milan need more than single-point returns if they are to finish in Italy's top four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLazio
52.34% (-0.4 -0.4) 25.46% (0.126 0.13) 22.2% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05% (-0.197 -0.2)54.95% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (-0.163 -0.16)76.23% (0.164 0.16)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.246 -0.25)21.02% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)53.81% (0.386 0.39)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (0.166 0.17)39.92% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (0.15 0.15)76.58% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 52.32%
    Lazio 22.2%
    Draw 25.46%
AC MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio

AC Milan
51.2%
Draw
23.3%
Lazio
25.6%
129
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Lazio
4-0
AC Milan
Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (33')

Bennacer (26'), Kjaer (54')
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 34
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 33
Lazio
3-0
AC Milan
Correa (2', 51'), Immobile (87')
Acerbi (19'), Milinkovic-Savic (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815
> Serie A Full Table


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