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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

AC Milan
1 - 1
Salernitana

Giroud (45+1')
Giroud (59'), Tomori (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (61')
Sambia (85'), Coulibaly (89'), Dia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, March 8 at 8.10pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Milan have claimed three straight wins at home in all competitions without conceding a goal and are likely to get another routine win over Salernitana, having had an extra day to recuperate following midweek exertions in Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
70.62% (-0.187 -0.19) 18.42% (0.099 0.1) 10.95% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)45.61% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (-0.201 -0.2)67.93% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (-0.113 -0.11)11.66% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (-0.238 -0.24)36.72% (0.234 0.23)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.28% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.84% (0.013 0.01)84.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 70.6%
    Salernitana 10.95%
    Draw 18.42%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 13.26%
1-0 @ 12.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.5% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.6%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.42%
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.09% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 10.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana

AC Milan
82.9%
Draw
12.5%
Salernitana
4.6%
152
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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