Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Venezia |
70.7% | 18.03% | 11.26% |
Both teams to score 47.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% | 43.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% | 65.41% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.08% | 10.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.91% | 35.09% |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.96% | 47.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.48% | 82.51% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Venezia |
2-0 @ 12.59% 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 7.02% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 2.28% 5-1 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.77% Total : 70.69% | 1-1 @ 8.58% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.03% | 0-1 @ 3.87% 1-2 @ 3.24% 0-2 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.8% Total : 11.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |