Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | AC Milan |
30.98% | 24.3% | 44.71% |
Both teams to score 58.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% | 43.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% | 66.28% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% | 26.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% | 62.32% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% | 19.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.16% | 51.84% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |