Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
39% | 25.76% | 35.23% |
Both teams to score 54.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.77% | 49.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.71% | 71.29% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% | 24.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.6% | 59.4% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% | 26.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.73% | 62.26% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.78% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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