Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 34.12% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.04%).
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
34.12% | 27.63% | 38.25% |
Both teams to score 48.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.04% | 56.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.13% | 77.87% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.57% | 31.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% | 67.8% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% | 28.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.28% | 64.72% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.72% Total : 38.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |