Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
41.93% ( -0) | 27.58% | 30.49% |
Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.43% ( -0) | 57.57% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.65% | 78.35% ( -0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( -0) | 27.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% ( -0) | 62.46% ( 0) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% | 34.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% | 70.97% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |