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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Monza

Lecce
1 - 1
Monza

Gonzalez (48')
Gendrey (45+3'), Di Francesco (52'), Banda (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sensi (35')
Birindelli (29'), Sensi (41'), Molina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Lecce
Monday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-2 Atalanta
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Monza

Neither side have scored many goals so far this season, and we would not be surprised if it is a low-scoring draw on Sunday between two teams low on confidence. The visitors would likely take that outcome to put a stop to their losing streak as they attempt to gain belief that they can compete at this level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawMonza
51.83% (-0.154 -0.15) 25.97% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 22.2% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.06% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (-0.135 -0.13)56.77% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (-0.109 -0.11)77.71% (0.104 0.1)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (-0.124 -0.12)21.98% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (-0.185 -0.19)55.28% (0.182 0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.011999999999993 0.01)40.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.013000000000002 0.01)77.52% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 51.83%
    Monza 22.2%
    Draw 25.96%
LecceDrawMonza
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.83%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Lecce vs Monza

Lecce
60.0%
Draw
33.3%
Monza
6.7%
75
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 2.35pm
Monza
0-1
Lecce

Donati (25'), Mazzitelli (45'), Pepin (50'), Paletta (54')
Coda (56' pen.)
Tuia (45+1'), Lucioni (63'), Gargiulo (66')
Oct 1, 2021 7.30pm
Lecce
3-0
Monza
Espeto (45+1'), Di Mariano (55'), Coda (70')
Barreca (51')

Marrone (32'), Mazzitelli (74')
May 4, 2021 1pm
Monza
1-0
Lecce
Barberis (41')
Balotelli (68')

Hjulmand (70')
Jan 4, 2021 3pm
Lecce
0-0
Monza

Mancosu (6'), Tachtsidis (14'), Dermaku (90+1')

Bettella (7')
Bellusci (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Napoli371313115548752
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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