Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Udinese |
61.27% | 20.34% | 18.4% |
Both teams to score 57.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.79% | 38.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.52% | 60.48% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.95% | 12.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.46% | 37.54% |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.81% | 34.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.12% | 70.88% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Udinese |
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 6.99% 3-0 @ 6.51% 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 3.7% 4-0 @ 3.44% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.57% 5-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 4.04% Total : 61.27% | 1-1 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 5.31% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-1 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.89% Total : 18.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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