Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Roma win it was 1-0 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
25.68% ( 0.03) | 26.48% ( -0.23) | 47.84% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% ( 0.85) | 55.9% ( -0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( 0.69) | 77.01% ( -0.69) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( 0.49) | 37.22% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% ( 0.48) | 74% ( -0.48) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0.46) | 23.39% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 0.67) | 57.38% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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