Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Udinese |
31.55% ( -0.06) | 26.48% ( 0.12) | 41.96% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.63% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.95% ( -0.49) | 53.05% ( 0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.36% ( -0.42) | 74.64% ( 0.42) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% ( -0.29) | 31.17% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.49% ( -0.34) | 67.51% ( 0.35) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -0.24) | 24.99% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% ( -0.34) | 59.65% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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