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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Udinese logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Udinese

Espeto (62' pen.)
Blin (35'), Espeto (51'), Gonzalez (85'), Ceesay (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bijol (7'), Perez (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Udinese

Battling for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Lecce are expected to put up a decent fight on Friday, but Udinese should have enough quality to inflict an eighth defeat in nine matches on the relegation strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawUdinese
41.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 27.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 31.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)57.06% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)77.94% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.24% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)62.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.41% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (-0.012 -0.01)70.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.19%
    Udinese 31.3%
    Draw 27.5%
LecceDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.19%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.3%

How you voted: Lecce vs Udinese

Lecce
27.3%
Draw
16.7%
Udinese
56.1%
66
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 13
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Beto (68')
Deulofeu (37')
Colombo (33')
Jul 29, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 37
Udinese
1-2
Lecce
Samir (36')
Sema (86')
Mancosu (40' pen.), Lapadula (81')
Paz (22'), Calderoni (45+1'), Lapadula (82'), Donati (90+3')
Jan 6, 2020 5pm
gameweek 18
Lecce
0-1
Udinese

Liverani (78'), Gabriel (89')
De Paul (88')
De Paul (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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