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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Spezia Calcio logo

Udinese
2 - 2
Spezia

Beto (22'), Pereyra (55')
Ehizibue (58'), Becao (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Zola (6', 72')
Nikolaou (76'), Shomurodov (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-1 Spezia

With both teams struggling for wins in recent times, we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides lacking confidence at present. Udinese have drawn five of their last seven matches at home, while Spezia are likely to be desperate to impress their new manager by avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawSpezia
59.51% (0.153 0.15) 22.01% (-0.159 -0.16) 18.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.3% (0.526 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.694 0.69)45.65% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.657 0.66)67.98% (-0.657 -0.66)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.283 0.28)14.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (0.538 0.54)43.37% (-0.537 -0.54)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.413 0.41)38.5% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.392 0.39)75.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 59.51%
    Spezia 18.48%
    Draw 22%
UdineseDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.48%

How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia

Udinese
72.9%
Draw
18.6%
Spezia
8.5%
59
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
May 14, 2022 5pm
Udinese
2-3
Spezia
Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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