Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.