MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 14:03:04| >> :600:152983:152983:
[monks data]
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Peterborough United

Stoke
2 - 0
Peterborough

Vrancic (3'), Campbell (90+5')
Batth (25'), Allen (73'), Smith (79'), Campbell (90+4'), Davies (90+8')
Surridge (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (52'), Knight (90+1')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Peterborough United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stoke City and Peterborough United face off in the league for the first time in 19 years on Saturday afternoon, with the sides at opposite ends of the Championship table.

The hosts are up in fifth place thanks to back-to-back victories, while Peterborough are winless in three and are only one spot above the relegation zone.


Match preview

Peterborough United players celebrate after beating Hull City on October 20, 2021© Reuters

A lot has changed for Stoke and Peterborough since their most recent encounter in March 2002 - a 1-0 win for the Potters - but they are now on a level playing field.

While Michael O'Neill's men are seeking promotion to the Premier League, however, United are focused solely on staying in the division.

The Posh hit a bit of form towards the end of October with wins over Hull City and Queens Park Rangers in quick succession, but they have since collected just one point from nine.

Following a 3-0 loss at Swansea City and a 1-1 draw to Huddersfield Town, Darren Ferguson's side were undone by an Aleksandar Mitrovic goal in a 1-0 loss to Fulham last time out.

That was the eighth game this season Peterborough have failed to score in, with no team in the division attempting fewer shots (138) or finding the target (48) less often.

Stoke City's manager Michael O'Neill pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Stoke have not exactly been scoring for fun of late, but they only needed one goal to see off Blackpool and then Luton Town in their last two games before the two-week break.

Those away wins moved City into the playoff spots, and they are now chasing a third win in a row for the first time since October 2016, when they were in the Premier League.

The Potters tend to do well when they face United, meanwhile, having gone 12 without defeat in this fixture - a run that includes five straight wins against the Posh.

Three more points will be the target on Saturday for O'Neill, but Peterborough are themselves just as desperate for a positive result as they attempt to climb the division.

Stoke City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Peterborough United Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

 Stoke City?s Harry Souttar celebrates at the final whistle against West Bromwich Albion on October 1, 2021© Reuters

Stoke were rocked this week with the news that defender Harry Souttar is out for the rest of the season with an injury sustained on international duty with Australia.

Souttar has started all but one of Stoke's league games this term, so the likes of James Chester and Ben Wilmot will have to step up in the coming months.

The centre-back joins a long list of absentees that also includes Sam Clucas, Abdallah Sima and Alfie Doughty.

After scoring the winner against Luton a fortnight ago, Jacob Brown has now been directly involved in six goals in his last six appearances - three goals and three assists.

As for the visitors, Jack Marriott and Joel Randall remain sidelined, while Christy Pym continues to be overlooked for selection by Ferguson.

Peterborough pushed rampant Fulham all the way in their last match and may stick with the same, or a very similar, starting lineup for this trip to the bet365 Stadium.

Should Ferguson wish to change things at all, Idriss Kanu, Kwame Poku and Ronnie Edwards are all options to come into the side.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bursik; Ostigard, Wilmot, Chester; Smith, Vrancic, Thompson, Sawyers, Tymon; Campbell, Brown

Peterborough United possible starting lineup:
Cornell; Ward, Beevers, Kent, Butler; Burrows, Norburn, Taylor, Dembele; Szmodics; Clarke-Harris


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 2-0 Peterborough United

The international break came at the wrong time for Stoke, who picked up six points from six before the hiatus, and they will be looking to hit the ground running here.

Peterborough's last win came a month ago and, given their poor record in this fixture down the years, we are backing the home side to come out on top.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



ID:470402:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9230:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs Peterborough

Stoke City
90.0%
Draw
6.0%
Peterborough United
4.0%
50
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
General view of Peterborough United's London Road from November 2014
Read Next:
Peterborough United: Transfer ins and outs - Summer 2021
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!