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Braga
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Benfica

Braga
1 - 1
Benfica

Elmusrati (36')
Racic (55'), Castro (88'), Niakate (92'), Tormena (100'), Oliveira (106'), Banza (113')
FT
(aet)
Guedes (15')
Otamendi (83'), Vlachodimos (111'), Morato (115')
Braga win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Maritimo vs. Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Brugge vs. Benfica
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: Braga 2-1 Benfica (after extra time)

 A closely-fought contest between two top teams in Portugal is set to take place on Wednesday, one that could even go beyond the 90 minutes. Braga have has the better of this fixture in recent seasons, winning four of their last five home meetings with Benfica, and although the Eagles will fancy their chances, the hosts may do just enough to edge through to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Braga had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (6.67%).

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
23.66% (-0.791 -0.79) 23.97% (-0.372 -0.37) 52.37% (1.167 1.17)
Both teams to score 53.63% (0.306 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.36% (0.828 0.83)47.64% (-0.825 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16% (0.761 0.76)69.84% (-0.758 -0.76)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)34.47% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (-0.26 -0.26)71.18% (0.262 0.26)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (0.76900000000001 0.77)18.16% (-0.766 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (1.292 1.29)49.14% (-1.289 -1.29)
Score Analysis
    Braga 23.66%
    Benfica 52.36%
    Draw 23.97%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 6.67% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 23.66%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 10.67% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.11% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.178 0.18)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.075 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.131 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.21% (0.137 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.36%

How you voted: Braga vs Benfica

Braga
40.7%
Draw
12.2%
Benfica
47.2%
123
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm
Braga
3-0
Benfica
Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')

Luis (27')
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
Braga
3-2
Benfica
Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Braga
0-2
Benfica

Fransergio (27')
Fransergio (39')
Silva (45+2'), Seferovic (56')
Otamendi (16'), Goncalves (45+1'), Pizzi (65'), Weigl (70')
rhs 2.0
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