MX23RW : Monday, May 20 04:33:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio del Parque Liebig's

La Luz
0 - 1
Nacional


Fagundez (29'), Viera (70'), Martirena (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carneiro (67')
Bocanegra (55')
Etchebarne (45+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between La Luz and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

La Luz

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, November 26 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Wanderers
Sunday, November 26 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
La LuzDrawNacional
18.71% (0.0059999999999967 0.01) 23.65% (0.246 0.25) 57.64% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 47.67% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.96% (-0.952 -0.95)52.04% (0.949 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.23% (-0.829 -0.83)73.77% (0.825 0.83)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.02% (-0.55 -0.55)41.98% (0.54799999999999 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.58% (-0.48 -0.48)78.42% (0.477 0.48)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.438 -0.44)17.83% (0.435 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42% (-0.759 -0.76)48.58% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    La Luz 18.71%
    Nacional 57.63%
    Draw 23.64%
La LuzDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 4.86% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.71%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.278 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 11.12% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.4% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 57.63%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 13
Nacional
3-0
La Luz
Ramirez (26', 44'), Martinez (56' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1311202762135
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3Boston RiverBoston River137331813524
4ProgresoProgreso137332421324
5Defensor SportingDefensor136432516922
6Racing de MontevideoRacing135351817118
7Cerro Largo135351413118
8LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers134361317-415
10Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
11River PlateRiver Plate133461519-413
12DanubioDanubio133461217-513
13Rampla JuniorsRampla133371224-1212
14CerroCerro132561323-1011
15FenixFenix132471016-610
16Miramar Misiones121561523-88
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!