MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 09:06:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 0
La Luz

Ramirez (26', 44'), Martinez (56' pen.)
Noguera (4'), Polenta (43'), Almeida (66'), Montiel (82'), Trezza (89'), Ramirez (90')
Almeida (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Scorza (52'), Schiappacasse (81'), Porcile (83'), Hernandez (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

La Luz

All competitions
Last Game: La Luz 2-2 River Plate
Saturday, April 22 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawLa Luz
64.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 21.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 14.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)49.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)71.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)14.84% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.83% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)43.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.8% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)46.2% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)81.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 64.2%
    La Luz 14.44%
    Draw 21.35%
NacionalDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.47%
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 64.2%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.35%
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.9%
0-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.44%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso117312316724
4Defensor SportingDefensor115422113819
5Cerro Largo115331310318
6Boston RiverBoston River115331513218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
9River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
10DanubioDanubio123451216-413
11LiverpoolLiverpool112631717012
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla112361023-139
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!