Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 3, 2023 at 12am UK
Parque Palermo
La Luz3 - 2Penarol
Royon (85' pen.), Machado (90+6'), Quintana (90+9')
Castillo (24'), Scorza (48'), Viera (76')
Castillo (24'), Scorza (48'), Viera (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cristoforo (60'), Rodriguez (90+2' pen.)
Coelho (33'), Hernandez (44'), Cristoforo (61'), Menosse (64')
Cristoforo (64'), Menosse (81')
Coelho (33'), Hernandez (44'), Cristoforo (61'), Menosse (64')
Cristoforo (64'), Menosse (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between La Luz and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fenix 0-2 La Luz
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Millonarios 3-1 Penarol
Wednesday, May 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
La Luz | Draw | Penarol |
28.28% ( 0.1) | 25.2% ( -0.01) | 46.51% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.93% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.75% ( 0.1) | 49.26% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.69% ( 0.09) | 71.31% ( -0.09) |
La Luz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.43% ( 0.13) | 31.57% ( -0.12) |