Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.
