MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 03:15:44| >> :600:4747347:4747347:
Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Gambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Tunisia national football team

Gambia
1 - 2
Tunisia

Sowe (14')
Adams (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abdi (11'), Ali Ben Romdhane (76')
Sassi (59'), Jouini (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gambia and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Gambia
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 Madagascar
Thursday, September 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gambia 1-1 Tunisia

 While Tunisia are still ranked in the top 10 sides in the CAF region, their performances over the last year have been well below expectations. Gambia, on the other hand, have been steadily improving over the same period, and if they can find a way to tighten up defensively, we could see them moving up the rankings in the coming months. The Carthage Eagles are considered the favourites here, but we feel the Scorpions will be able to earn a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
GambiaDrawTunisia
33.31% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 27.24% (-0.032 -0.03) 39.45% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.82% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (0.141 0.14)55.59% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (0.116 0.12)76.76% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (0.107 0.11)31.27% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (0.125 0.13)67.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (0.057999999999993 0.06)27.52% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.073999999999998 0.07)63.02% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 33.31%
    Tunisia 39.45%
    Draw 27.23%
GambiaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.45%

How you voted: Gambia vs Tunisia

Gambia
33.3%
Draw
25.0%
Tunisia
41.7%
36
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Gambia
1-0
Tunisia
Jallow (90+3')
Adams (48'), Gomez (89')

Mathlouthi (45+2'), Mejbri (90+2'), Drager (90+2')
Ben Mustapha (45+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!